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    大模型驱动的时间序列智能分析综述

    A Survey of Large Model-Driven Intelligent Time Series Analysis

    • 摘要: 时间序列记录交通、能源、金融、医疗、工业和云服务等复杂系统的状态变化,是研究系统动态规律的重要数据基础。传统时间序列分析主要面向特定领域的预测、分类和异常检测等任务,侧重数值模式建模。随着应用场景拓展,跨域迁移、语义解释、知识融合、情境推理和自动化决策等需求日益突出。基础模型、大语言模型、多模态学习和智能体技术的发展,推动时间序列分析从数值建模向智能分析拓展:时间序列基础模型通过大规模预训练学习可迁移的时序表征,大语言模型建立数值模式与文本语义之间的联系,多模态与知识增强方法融合文本、图像、事件和领域知识以支持情境理解,智能体通过任务规划、工具调用和反馈校验组织闭环分析流程。本文围绕上述技术主线,系统梳理大模型驱动时间序列智能分析的数据形态、任务体系、关键方法、评测资源和行业应用,分析现存挑战与未来方向,为构建面向复杂现实系统的时间序列智能分析系统提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Time series record state changes in complex systems across transportation, energy, finance, healthcare, industry, and cloud services, providing a foundation for studying system dynamics. Traditional time series analysis focuses on modeling numerical patterns for domain-specific tasks such as forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection. As applications expand, demand is growing for cross-domain transfer, semantic interpretation, knowledge integration, contextual reasoning, and automated decision-making. Advances in foundation models, large language models, multimodal learning, and agent technologies are extending time series analysis from numerical modeling to intelligent analysis. Time series foundation models learn transferable temporal representations through large-scale pretraining, and large language models link numerical patterns with textual semantics. Multimodal and knowledge-enhanced methods integrate text, images, events, and domain knowledge to support contextual understanding. Agents organize closed-loop analytical workflows through task planning, tool use, and feedback-based verification. Organized around these technical directions, this survey systematically reviews the data forms, task taxonomy, key methods, evaluation resources, and industry applications of intelligent time series analysis driven by large models. It also examines current challenges and future research directions, providing a reference for developing intelligent time series analysis systems for complex real-world settings.

       

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