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    条件化特征调制与结构可解释的知识追踪模型

    A Knowledge Tracing Model with Conditional Feature Modulation and Structural Interpretability

    • 摘要: 根据学习者过去的学习交互预测其未来答题表现是知识追踪的关键任务之一。当前知识追踪方法在多源静态语义特征与动态行为序列的交互建模方面仍存在不足,且预测过程缺乏可解释性,制约了其在实际教学场景中的应用可信度。基于此,提出一种基于条件化特征调制与显式解释机制的知识追踪模型CFMKT(conditional feature modulation for knowledge tracing)。该模型以学习者的时序作答序列为基础,引入题目难度、知识点难度和知识关系图3种静态语义特征,并通过改进的FiLM(feature-wise linear modulation)机制,在表示层面对时序特征建模结果进行语义条件化调制,实现静态语义与动态行为的深度交互。同时,在调制与预测过程中引入具有明确语义含义的中间变量,使模型预测能通过历史证据、静态证据及其权重变化进行追溯,从而提升预测的可解释性。在3个真实在线教育数据集上的实验结果表明,所提模型在预测精度与可解释性方面均优于多种主流方法,验证了该方法在多源语义交互建模与预测解释上的有效性。

       

      Abstract: Predicting learners’ future performance based on their historical learning interactions is a fundamental task in knowledge tracing. Existing knowledge tracing models remain limited in modeling the interaction between multi-source static semantic information and dynamic behavioral sequences, and their prediction processes often lack interpretability, which restricts their reliability in real educational applications. To address these issues, we propose a knowledge tracing model based on conditional feature modulation with explicit interpretability (CFMKT). The model builds upon learners’ sequential response data and incorporates multiple types of static semantic features, including item difficulty, knowledge concept difficulty, and a knowledge relation graph. An improved feature-wise linear modulation (FiLM) mechanism is introduced to conditionally modulate the dynamic sequence representations at the feature level, enabling deep interaction between static semantics and learners’ temporal behaviors. Moreover, the model embeds interpretable intermediate variables into both the modulation and prediction processes, allowing prediction outcomes to be traced through historical evidence, static semantic evidence, and their adaptive weighting. This design provides structural transparency and enhances the interpretability of the knowledge tracing process. Experiments conducted on three real-world educational datasets demonstrate that the proposed model consistently outperforms several state-of-the-art methods in terms of both prediction accuracy and interpretability, validating its effectiveness in multi-source semantic interaction modeling and explainable learner state estimation.

       

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