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    多专家决策算法

    THE MULTI EXPERT DECISION MAKING ALGORITHMS

    • 摘要: 多专家决策问题是在多个专家提出决策的基础上得出一个综合的决策,并根据实例调整策略,使得到的决策达到“最佳”.文中介绍的算法将整个决策域划分成若干个子决策域,并在各子决策域为每个专家赋予权值,从而为每个子决策域确定最佳决策.文中提出了两种决策算法,并证明了它们的有效性.算法1得到的决策可在各个子决策域都接近最佳专家决策,算法2则力图在各专家决策都偏离实际值的情况下,提出比最佳专家决策更接近实际值的决策.

       

      Abstract: The object of the multi expert decision making is to make an integrated decision on the basis of decisions presented by several experts, which is near the “best” by adapting decision strategy according to examples. The algorithms introduced in this paper divide the whole decision area into several subareas and assign a weight to every expert in each subarea. In this way, the algorithms make the best decision in each subarea. The validity of the algorithms is proved. The decision made by algorithm 1 may approach the best decision presented by some experts in each decision area, and algorithm 2 attempts to make a decision which is more approximate to actual value than that made by the best expert, when all decisions made by experts deviate from the actual value.

       

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